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Resiliência e Estados Múltiplos
Leituras
Introdutórias
Scheffer, M. 2009. Alternative Stable States. In: Critical Transitions in Nature and Society, Chapter II, pp. 11-36, Princenton University Press.
Para discussão
Persson et al. 2007. Culling prey promotes predator recovery — alternative states in a whole-lake experiment. Science 316: 1743-1746.,
Supporting online material.
Sobre os(as) autores(as)
Irmgard Blindow
Material suplementar
Básico
Revisões
Dakos, V., Carpenter, S. R., Brock, W. A., Ellison, A. M., Guttal, V., Ives, A. R., … & Scheffer, M. (2012). Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data.
PloS one, 7(7), e41010.
Folke, C. et al. 2004. Regime shifts, resilience, and biodiversity in ecosystem management. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 35: 557–81.
Grimm, V. & Wissel, C. 1997. Babel, or the ecological stability discussions: an inventory and analysis of terminology and a guide for avoiding confusion. Oecologia 109: 323–334.
Hastings, A., Abbott, K.C., Cuddington, K., Francis, T., Gellner, G., Lai, Y.C., Morozov, A., Petrovskii, S., Scranton, K. and Zeeman, M.L., 2018. Transient phenomena in ecology. Science, 361(6406): eaat6412.
Scheffer, M., Westley, F., Brock, W. 2003. Slow Response of Societies to New Problems: Causes and Costs. Ecosystems 6: 493–502.
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Lenton, T.M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Dakos, V., et al. (2012). Anticipating Critical Transitions. Science, 338, 344–348.
Estudos de caso
Coutinho, R.M., Kraenkel, R.A. and Prado, P.I., 2015. Catastrophic regime shift in water reservoirs and São Paulo water supply crisis.
PloS one, 10(9), e0138278.
Pardini et al. 2010. Beyond the fragmentation threshold hypothesis: regime shifts in biodiversity across fragmented landscapes.
PLoS ONE 5 e13666
Staver, A.C., Archibald, S. and Levin, S.A., 2011. The global extent and determinants of savanna and forest as alternative biome states. Science, 334(6053): 230-232.
Efeito de estrutura demográfica
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de Roos, A.M. and Persson, L., 2013. Population and community ecology of ontogenetic development. Princeton University Press.
Sites
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CRITICS, um projeto interinstitucional de pesquisa de transições críticas em diversas áreas.
SPARCS The Synergy Program for Analysing Resilience and Critical transitions, grupo de Marteen Scheffer.
Regime shifts database :
“The Regime Shifts DataBase provides examples of different types of regime shifts that have been documented in social-ecological systems. The database focuses specifically on regime shifts that have large impacts on ecosystem services, and therefore on human well-being.”