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apoio:resiliencia [2019/01/10 11:03]
paulo [Slides]
apoio:resiliencia [2019/02/27 11:52] (atual)
paulo [Sites]
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-===== Resiliência e Estados Múltiplos =====+====== Resiliência e Estados Múltiplos ======
  
-==== Leituras ====+===== Leituras =====
  
-=== Introdutórias ===+==== Introdutórias ====
  
   * Scheffer, M. 2009.  Alternative Stable States. In: Critical Transitions in Nature and Society, Chapter II, pp. 11-36, Princenton University Press.   * Scheffer, M. 2009.  Alternative Stable States. In: Critical Transitions in Nature and Society, Chapter II, pp. 11-36, Princenton University Press.
  
  
-=== Para discussão ===+==== Para discussão ====
  
   * Blindow I. et al. 1993. Long-term pattern of alternative stable states in two shallow eutrophic lakes. Freshwater Biology 30: 159-167.   * Blindow I. et al. 1993. Long-term pattern of alternative stable states in two shallow eutrophic lakes. Freshwater Biology 30: 159-167.
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   * Persson et al. 2007. Culling prey promotes predator recovery — alternative states in a whole-lake experiment. Science 316: 1743-1746., [[http://www.sciencemag.org/content/316/5832/1743/suppl/DC1|Supporting online material]].   * Persson et al. 2007. Culling prey promotes predator recovery — alternative states in a whole-lake experiment. Science 316: 1743-1746., [[http://www.sciencemag.org/content/316/5832/1743/suppl/DC1|Supporting online material]].
  
-==== Material suplementar==== +===Sobre os(as) autores(as)== 
-===Básico===+ 
 +==Irmgard Blindow == 
 +{{https://botanik.uni-greifswald.de/fileadmin/uni-greifswald/fakultaet/mnf/biologie/botanik/Experimentelle_Pflanzenoekologie/IRMGARD_bearbeitet__300x416_.png?100  }} 
 + 
 +  * [[https://botanik.uni-greifswald.de/en/experimental-plant-ecology/staff/pd-dr-irmgard-blindow/|Página institucional]] 
 + 
 +==Lennart Persson== 
 +{{https://www.umu.se/globalassets/personalbilder/persson-lennart.jpg?100  }} 
 +  * [[https://www.umu.se/en/staff/lennart-persson/|Página institucional]] 
 +===== Material suplementar===== 
 +====Básico===
   * Lewontin, RC. 1969. The meaning of stability. Brookhaven Symp Biol 22:13–23.   * Lewontin, RC. 1969. The meaning of stability. Brookhaven Symp Biol 22:13–23.
  
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   * Scheffer, M. 2009. Critical Transitions in Nature and Society. Princeton Univ. Press.    * Scheffer, M. 2009. Critical Transitions in Nature and Society. Princeton Univ. Press. 
 +  
 +  * Zeeman, E.C. Catastrophe Theory, Scientific American, April 1976; pp. 65–70, 75–83. 
 +
 +====Revisões====
  
-===Revisões e estudos de caso=== 
   * Scheffer, M. et al. 2001. Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. //Nature// 413: 591-596.   * Scheffer, M. et al. 2001. Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. //Nature// 413: 591-596.
  
   * Beisner, B.E. et al. 2003. Alternative stable states in ecology. //Front. Ecol. Environ.// 1: 376–382.   * Beisner, B.E. et al. 2003. Alternative stable states in ecology. //Front. Ecol. Environ.// 1: 376–382.
 +
 +  * Dakos, V., Carpenter, S. R., Brock, W. A., Ellison, A. M., Guttal, V., Ives, A. R., ... & Scheffer, M. (2012). Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data. [[http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0041010#s5|PloS one, 7(7), e41010]].
  
   * Elmqvist et al. 2003. Response diversity, ecosystem change, and resilience. //Frontiers in Ecology and Environment//1: 488–494.   * Elmqvist et al. 2003. Response diversity, ecosystem change, and resilience. //Frontiers in Ecology and Environment//1: 488–494.
Linha 34: Linha 50:
  
   * Grimm, V. & Wissel, C. 1997. Babel, or the ecological stability discussions: an inventory and analysis of terminology and a guide for avoiding confusion. //Oecologia// 109: 323–334.   * Grimm, V. & Wissel, C. 1997. Babel, or the ecological stability discussions: an inventory and analysis of terminology and a guide for avoiding confusion. //Oecologia// 109: 323–334.
- +   
-  * Staver et al2011The Global Extent and Determinants of Savanna and Forest as Alternative Biome States+  * Hastings, A., Abbott, K.C., Cuddington, K., Francis, T., Gellner, G., Lai, Y.C., Morozov, A., Petrovskii, S., Scranton, K. and Zeeman, M.L., 2018. Transient phenomena in ecology. Science, 361(6406): eaat6412. 
 +   
 +  * Lansing, J.S., 2003. Complex adaptive systems. Annual review of anthropology, pp.183-204.
  
   * Peterson, G. et al. 1998. Ecological Resilience,Biodiversity, and Scale. //Ecosystems// 1: 6–18.    * Peterson, G. et al. 1998. Ecological Resilience,Biodiversity, and Scale. //Ecosystems// 1: 6–18. 
Linha 45: Linha 63:
   * Scheffer, M., Westley, F., Brock, W. 2003. Slow Response of Societies to New Problems: Causes and Costs. Ecosystems 6: 493–502.   * Scheffer, M., Westley, F., Brock, W. 2003. Slow Response of Societies to New Problems: Causes and Costs. Ecosystems 6: 493–502.
  
-  * Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Lenton, T.M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Dakos, V., et al. (2012). Anticipating Critical Transitions. Science, 338, 344–348.+  * Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Lenton, T.M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Dakos, V., et al. 2012. Anticipating Critical Transitions. Science, 338, 344–348.
  
   * Schröder, A. et al. 2005. Direct experimental evidence for alternative stable states: a review. //Oikos// 110: 3-19.   * Schröder, A. et al. 2005. Direct experimental evidence for alternative stable states: a review. //Oikos// 110: 3-19.
Linha 53: Linha 71:
   * Walker, B. et al. 2004. Resilience, Adaptability and Transformability in Social–ecological Systems. //Ecology and Society// 9:5.    * Walker, B. et al. 2004. Resilience, Adaptability and Transformability in Social–ecological Systems. //Ecology and Society// 9:5. 
  
-  Pardini et al2010Beyond the fragmentation threshold hypothesis: regime shifts in biodiversity across fragmented landscapes.[[http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0013666|PLoS ONE 5 e13666]]  +=== Estudos de caso === 
 + 
 +  Coutinho, R.M., Kraenkel, R.A. and Prado, P.I., 2015. Catastrophic regime shift in water reservoirs and São Paulo water supply crisis. [[https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0138278 PloS one, 10(9), e0138278]].
  
   * Hirota et al. 2011. Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions. Science 334: 232-235.   * Hirota et al. 2011. Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions. Science 334: 232-235.
      
-  *  E.CZeeman, Catastrophe Theory, Scientific American, April 1976; pp65–70, 75–83+  *  Pardini et al2010Beyond the fragmentation threshold hypothesis: regime shifts in biodiversity across fragmented landscapes.[[http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0013666|PLoS ONE 5 e13666]]  
  
-  * LansingJ.S., 2003. Complex adaptive systems. Annual review of anthropologypp.183-204. +  * StaverA.C., ArchibaldSand Levin, S.A., 2011The global extent and determinants of savanna and forest as alternative biome statesScience334(6053): 230-232.
-   +
-  * Dakos, V., Carpenter, S. R., Brock, W. A., Ellison, AM., Guttal, V., Ives, A. R., ... & Scheffer, M. (2012). Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data. [[http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0041010#s5|PloS one, 7(7), e41010]]+
  
-==André de Roos== +====Efeito de estrutura demográfica==== 
-  * [[https://staff.fnwi.uva.nl/a.m.deroos/|Site]]+  * [[https://staff.fnwi.uva.nl/a.m.deroos/|Andre de Ross Site]]. //Tem vídeo-aulas com bom resumo das ideias//.
   * de Roos, A.M. and Persson, L., 2013. Population and community ecology of ontogenetic development. Princeton University Press.   * de Roos, A.M. and Persson, L., 2013. Population and community ecology of ontogenetic development. Princeton University Press.
  
-=== Sites ===+==== Sites ====
   * [[http://www.resalliance.org/|Resilience Alliance]]   * [[http://www.resalliance.org/|Resilience Alliance]]
-  * [[http://www.early-warning-signals.org/|Early warnings toolbox]]+  * [[http://www.early-warning-signals.org/|Early warnings toolbox]], ferramentas estatísticas para detecção de mudanças de estado.  
 +  * [[http://www.criticsitn.eu/wp/|CRITICS]], um projeto interinstitucional de pesquisa de transições críticas em diversas áreas. 
 +  * [[http://www.sparcs-center.org/|SPARCS]] The Synergy Program for Analysing Resilience and Critical transitions, grupo de Marteen Scheffer. 
 +  * [[https://www.stockholmresilience.org|Stockholm Resilience Centre]] 
 +  * [[https://www.regimeshifts.org|Regime shifts database]] : //"The Regime Shifts DataBase provides examples of different types of regime shifts that have been documented in social-ecological systems. The database focuses specifically on regime shifts that have large impacts on ecosystem services, and therefore on human well-being."// Do centro de Resiliência Estocolmo, link acima.
  
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