Resiliência e Estados Múltiplos

Leituras

Scheffer, M. 2009. Alternative Stable States. In: Critical Transitions in Nature and Society, Chapter II, pp. 11-36, Princenton University Press.

Blindow I. et al. 1993. Long-term pattern of alternative stable states in two shallow eutrophic lakes. Freshwater Biology 30: 159-167.

Persson et al. 2007. Culling prey promotes predator recovery — alternative states in a whole-lake experiment. Science 316: 1743-1746.. O material suplementar ajuda muito a discussão.

Holling C.S. 1973. Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 4: 1-23.

May, R.M. 1977. Thresholds and breakpoints in ecosystems with a multiplicity of stable states. Nature 269: 471-477.

Scheffer, M. 2009. Critical Transitions in Nature and Society. Princeton Univ. Press.

Zeeman, E.C. Catastrophe Theory, Scientific American, April 1976; pp. 65–70, 75–83.

Scheffer, M. et al. 2001. Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature 413: 591-596.

Beisner, B.E. et al. 2003. Alternative stable states in ecology. Front. Ecol. Environ. 1: 376–382.

Dakos, V., Carpenter, S. R., Brock, W. A., Ellison, A. M., Guttal, V., Ives, A. R., … & Scheffer, M. (2012). Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data. PloS one, 7(7), e41010.

Elmqvist et al. 2003. Response diversity, ecosystem change, and resilience. Frontiers in Ecology and Environment1: 488–494.

Folke, C., Carpenter, S., Elmqvist, T., Gunderson, L., Holling, C.S. and Walker, B., 2002. Resilience and sustainable development: building adaptive capacity in a world of transformations. AMBIO: A journal of the human environment, 31(5): 437-440.

Folke, C. et al. 2004. Regime shifts, resilience, and biodiversity in ecosystem management. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 35: 557–81.

Grimm, V. & Wissel, C. 1997. Babel, or the ecological stability discussions: an inventory and analysis of terminology and a guide for avoiding confusion. Oecologia 109: 323–334.

Hastings, A., Abbott, K.C., Cuddington, K., Francis, T., Gellner, G., Lai, Y.C., Morozov, A., Petrovskii, S., Scranton, K. and Zeeman, M.L., 2018. Transient phenomena in ecology. Science, 361(6406): eaat6412.

Lansing, J.S., 2003. Complex adaptive systems. Annual review of anthropology, pp.183-204.

Peterson, G. et al. 1998. Ecological Resilience,Biodiversity, and Scale. Ecosystems 1: 6–18.

Scheffer, M. et al. 2009. Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461: 53-59.

Scheffer, M., Westley, F.R. 2007. The Evolutionary Basis of Rigidity: Locks in Cells, Minds, and Society. Ecology & Society 12(2): 36.

Scheffer, M., Westley, F., Brock, W. 2003. Slow Response of Societies to New Problems: Causes and Costs. Ecosystems 6: 493–502.

Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Lenton, T.M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Dakos, V., et al. 2012. Anticipating Critical Transitions. Science, 338, 344–348.

Schröder, A. et al. 2005. Direct experimental evidence for alternative stable states: a review. Oikos 110: 3-19.

van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. 2004. Large species shifts triggered by small forces. Am. Nat. 164: 255-266.

Walker, B. et al. 2004. Resilience, Adaptability and Transformability in Social–ecological Systems. Ecology and Society 9:5.

Coutinho, R.M., Kraenkel, R.A. and Prado, P.I., 2015. Catastrophic regime shift in water reservoirs and São Paulo water supply crisis. PloS one, 10(9), e0138278.

Hirota et al. 2011. Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions. Science 334: 232-235.

Pardini et al. 2010. Beyond the fragmentation threshold hypothesis: regime shifts in biodiversity across fragmented landscapes.PLoS ONE 5 e13666

Staver, A.C., Archibald, S. and Levin, S.A., 2011. The global extent and determinants of savanna and forest as alternative biome states. Science, 334(6053): 230-232.

Andre de Ross Site. Tem vídeo-aulas com bom resumo das ideias.
de Roos, A.M. and Persson, L., 2013. Population and community ecology of ontogenetic development. Princeton University Press.

Resilience Alliance
Early warnings toolbox, ferramentas estatísticas para detecção de mudanças de estado.
CRITICS, um projeto interinstitucional de pesquisa de transições críticas em diversas áreas.
SPARCS The Synergy Program for Analysing Resilience and Critical transitions, grupo de Marteen Scheffer.
Stockholm Resilience Centre
Regime shifts database : “The Regime Shifts DataBase provides examples of different types of regime shifts that have been documented in social-ecological systems. The database focuses specifically on regime shifts that have large impacts on ecosystem services, and therefore on human well-being.” Do centro de Resiliência Estocolmo, link acima.